Rivalry

How the Tigray war and the Pretoria agreement unfolded

War between Ethiopia's federal government and the Tigray People's Liberation Front began in November 2020 and ended with an African Union brokered cessation of hostilities signed in Pretoria on 2 November 2022. Estimates of the dead range from under 100,000, cited by some Ethiopian officials, to about 600,000, cited by the AU's lead mediator. After a split in the TPLF in 2025 and the party's deregistration, renewed fighting broke out on 23 September 2026.

4 November 2020 to today · 29 dated events · 20 sources
Where it stands now · as of 1 November 2026

Fighting between federal forces and an alliance that includes the TPLF broke out on 23 September 2026. Federal forces and an allied militia took Mekelle in early October after the TPLF withdrew and entered Adwa on 11 October. On 16 October Abiy named a new interim administration for Tigray to serve for six months ahead of elections, Reuters and AFP reported.

In 30 seconds: the turning points
  1. 4 Nov 2020 Abiy orders military operation in Tigray
  2. 28 Jun 2021 TPLF retakes Mekelle and government declares ceasefire
  3. 3 Nov 2021 UN and Ethiopian rights commission report on violations
  4. 24 Mar 2022 Government declares humanitarian truce
  5. 2 Nov 2022 Cessation of Hostilities Agreement signed
  6. 23 Mar 2023 Interim administration set up under Getachew Reda
Ef
🇪🇹 Side A

Ethiopian federal government

Federal government of Ethiopia, led by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed since 2018
VS
TP
🇪🇹 Side B

Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF)

Tigray's former ruling party, led by chairman Debretsion Gebremichael, deregistered by the National Election Board on 14 May 2025
16 : 6Moves recorded
6 : 2Military
3 : 3Leadership
4 : 0Legal step
2 : 1Statement

Timeline of events

Overview · 4 Nov 2020 to 16 Oct 2026 · click a dot to jump
2020202220232024202520264 November 2020: Abiy orders military operation in TigrayNovember 2020: Eritrean troops enter TigrayNovember 2020: Federal forces take MekelleFebruary 2021: Amnesty reports killings in AxumMarch 2021: Abiy acknowledges Eritrean presenceMay 2021: TPLF designated a terrorist organisation28 June 2021: TPLF retakes Mekelle and government declares ceasefire2 November 2021: Nationwide state of emergency3 November 2021: UN and Ethiopian rights commission report on violations24 November 2021: Abiy goes to the front lineMarch 2022: Researchers estimate up to 500,000 deaths24 March 2022: Government declares humanitarian truce24 August 2022: Truce collapsesSeptember 2022: Tigrayan authorities accept AU mediation25 October 2022: Talks open in Pretoria2 November 2022: Cessation of Hostilities Agreement signedJanuary 2023: AU envoy puts toll at about 600,00022 March 2023: Parliament lifts TPLF terrorist designation23 March 2023: Interim administration set up under Getachew Reda13 March 2025: TPLF faction takes offices in Mekelle8 April 2025: Tadesse Werede named interim leader14 May 2025: Election board deregisters the TPLFApril 2026: TPLF reinstates regional parliament5 May 2026: Debretsion elected to head regional parliament11 June 2026: Federal officials say TPLF is preparing an offensive23 September 2026: Fighting resumes3 October 2026: Federal forces enter Mekelle11 October 2026: Federal forces enter Adwa16 October 2026: Abiy names new interim administration
2020
4 Nov 2020
Turning point
government Military

Abiy orders military operation in Tigray

Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed ordered a military response to what he called a "traitorous" attack on federal army camps in Tigray, which he blamed on the TPLF, AFP reported.

2021
Feb 2021
Investigation

Amnesty reports killings in Axum

Amnesty International said Eritrean soldiers killed hundreds of civilians in Axum in November 2020, AFP reported.

🇪🇹 AxumThe Citizen (AFP)
May 2021
government Legal step

TPLF designated a terrorist organisation

Ethiopia designated the TPLF a terrorist organisation in May 2021, Al Jazeera later reported.

28 Jun 2021
Turning point
(TPLF) Military

TPLF retakes Mekelle and government declares ceasefire

The TPLF said it was back in control of Mekelle, and the federal government declared an immediate unilateral ceasefire through the farming season, Al Jazeera reported. The UN said about 350,000 people faced famine conditions.

“The capital of Tigray, Mekelle, is under our control”Getachew Reda, TPLF spokesperson, Al Jazeera
3 Nov 2021
Turning point
Finding

UN and Ethiopian rights commission report on violations

A joint investigation by the UN Human Rights Office and the Ethiopian Human Rights Commission, covering November 2020 to 28 June 2021, found reasonable grounds to believe that all parties had violated international law, and that some violations may amount to war crimes and crimes against humanity.

“all parties to the Tigray conflict have committed violations of international human rights”Michelle Bachelet, UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, UN Geneva newsroom (OHCHR)
2022
Mar 2022
Finding

Researchers estimate up to 500,000 deaths

Researchers at Ghent University in Belgium estimated in March 2022 that up to 500,000 people had died, including from fighting, lack of medical care and starvation, The National reported.

24 Mar 2022
Turning point
government Talks

Government declares humanitarian truce

The government declared an indefinite humanitarian truce to allow aid into Tigray, and Tigrayan forces agreed to a cessation of hostilities, AFP reported.

25 Oct 2022
Talks

Talks open in Pretoria

African Union led peace talks between the federal government and the TPLF began in Pretoria, AFP reported.

🇿🇦 PretoriaJusticeInfo.net (AFP)
2 Nov 2022
Turning point
Talks

Cessation of Hostilities Agreement signed

The two sides signed an agreement for a permanent cessation of hostilities. Under the text, the TPLF was to complete its disarmament, including light weapons, within 30 days, federal authority was to be restored in Tigray, an interim regional administration settled through dialogue was to govern until elections, and the government was to facilitate the lifting of the TPLF's terrorist designation. A joint committee chaired by the AU was to monitor implementation. The text does not name Eritrea.

“permanent cessation of hostilities”Cessation of Hostilities Agreement, as quoted by Reuters, inkl (Reuters)
2023
Jan 2023
Statement

AU envoy puts toll at about 600,000

Olusegun Obasanjo, the African Union's lead mediator, told the Financial Times that about 600,000 people had been killed, The National reported. It said some Ethiopian officials put the figure under 100,000.

“The number of people killed was about 600,000”Olusegun Obasanjo, The National
· · · 24 months later
2025
13 Mar 2025
Turning point
(TPLF) Leadership

TPLF faction takes offices in Mekelle

A TPLF faction led by former regional leader Debretsion Gebremichael took control of Mekelle's FM radio station and the mayor's office, two days after taking Adigrat, BBC News reported. Getachew, who was in Addis Ababa, accused the faction of trying to remove him by force and of colluding with Eritrea, which Eritrea denied.

🇪🇹 MekelleThe Star, Kenya (BBC News)
14 May 2025
Turning point
government Legal step

Election board deregisters the TPLF

The National Election Board of Ethiopia revoked the TPLF's legal status, saying it had failed to meet its registration obligations, the state Ethiopian News Agency reported. BBC News said the failure to hold a general assembly was cited. In a letter to the African Union, the TPLF said the ban threatened the peace process and asked the AU to press the government to suspend it.

“poses a serious threat to the foundation of the peace process”TPLF statement, The Star, Kenya (BBC News)
2026
5 May 2026
(TPLF) Leadership

Debretsion elected to head regional parliament

TPLF leader Debretsion Gebremichael was elected to head the restored regional parliament, AFP reported. A TPLF deputy said the interim administration no longer existed.

“The interim administration no longer exists.”Amanuel Assefa, TPLF deputy, Arab News (AFP)
11 Jun 2026
government Statement

Federal officials say TPLF is preparing an offensive

Getachew Reda, by then minister of East African affairs, and intelligence chief Redwan Hussein wrote in an opinion piece on Al Jazeera's website that hardline TPLF elements planned to attack the federal government with Eritrean help, AFP reported. AFP said direct clashes had resumed in late 2025. The TPLF did not respond to AFP.

23 Sep 2026
Turning point
(TPLF) Military

Fighting resumes

Fighting broke out after seven armed and political groups, including the TPLF, announced an alliance aimed at removing Abiy's government, Al Jazeera reported. The alliance captured Mekelle airport, AFP reported. Ethiopia accuses Eritrea, Sudan and Egypt of backing it. All three deny this, according to AFP.

3 Oct 2026
Turning point
government Military

Federal forces enter Mekelle

Federal troops and the pro-government Tigray Peace Forces militia entered Mekelle after retaking its airport, Reuters reported, cited by Al Jazeera. The TPLF said it had temporarily moved out of the city. AP reported that allied fighters entered the city on 4 October.

“temporarily moved out of Mekelle”TPLF statement, Al Jazeera
11 Oct 2026
government Military

Federal forces enter Adwa

Federal forces and an allied militia entered Adwa a day after TPLF fighters withdrew, residents told AFP. Days earlier government forces had taken Adigrat, and Eritrea had severed diplomatic ties with Ethiopia, AFP reported.

16 Oct 2026
government Leadership

Abiy names new interim administration

Abiy set up a new interim administration for Tigray to serve for six months and prepare for elections, Reuters reported. AFP said five officials, including the mayor of Mekelle, were appointed to run the region. A TPLF spokesperson did not respond to Reuters.

“must break free from this cycle of conflict”Abiy Ahmed, ThePrint (Reuters)

Background

Key facts

War began4 November 2020
AgreementCessation of Hostilities Agreement, signed in Pretoria on 2 November 2022
MediatorAfrican Union, with a joint monitoring committee chaired by the AU High-Level Panel that includes IGAD
Death toll estimatesUnder 100,000 (some Ethiopian officials), up to 500,000 (Ghent University, March 2022), about 600,000 (AU envoy Obasanjo, January 2023)
Interim administrationSet up 23 March 2023, headed by Getachew Reda and from April 2025 by Tadesse Werede
Renewed fightingFrom 23 September 2026

Revision history

  • 1 Nov 2026 Published Timeline published.
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Sources

20 records, ranked by type
  1. 1News report13 Sep 2022
    Key dates in Ethiopia's war (AFP)
    The Citizen (AFP) · citizen.co.za
  2. 2News report22 Mar 2023
    Timeline: the conflict in Ethiopia's Tigray (AFP)
    JusticeInfo.net (AFP) · justiceinfo.net
  3. 3News report28 Jun 2021
    Ethiopia declares ceasefire as rebels retake Tigray capital
    Al Jazeera · aljazeera.com
  4. 4Official record3 Nov 2021
    OHCHR press conference on Tigray, 03 November 2021
    UN Geneva newsroom (OHCHR) · unognewsroom.org
  5. 5Government document6 Nov 2021
    Joint statement on release of OHCHR-EHRC joint investigation, November 6, 2021
    Global Affairs Canada · canada.ca
  6. 6News report16 Jan 2023
    Tigray death toll could be as high as 600,000, African Union envoy says
    The National · thenationalnews.com
  7. 7News report2 Nov 2022
    Factbox: Key points in Ethiopia's ceasefire agreement (Reuters)
    inkl (Reuters) · inkl.com
  8. 8News report23 Mar 2023
    Ethiopia sets up Tigray interim government as part of peace plan
    Al Jazeera · aljazeera.com
  9. 9News report14 Mar 2025
    Rival forces seize mayor's office in key Ethiopian town amid fears of new conflict (BBC)
    The Star, Kenya (BBC News) · the-star.co.ke
  10. 10News report8 Apr 2025
    Ethiopia's PM Abiy appoints new leader of Tigray administration (Reuters)
    ThePrint (Reuters) · theprint.in
  11. 11News report16 May 2025
    Tigray party says ban threatens Ethiopia peace deal (BBC)
    The Star, Kenya (BBC News) · the-star.co.ke
  12. 12News report6 May 2026
    Fears of fresh conflict in Ethiopia's Tigray as local party retakes control (AFP)
    Arab News (AFP) · arabnews.pk
  13. 13News report12 Jun 2026
    Ethiopia claims Tigrayan forces preparing offensive against govt (AFP)
    Citizen Digital (AFP) · citizen.digital
  14. 14News report4 Oct 2026
    Ethiopian government forces seize Tigray capital Mekelle as TPLF withdraws
    Al Jazeera · aljazeera.com
  15. 15News report12 Oct 2026
    Ethiopian forces enter strategic Tigray town of Adwa, witnesses say (AFP)
    Al Jazeera (AFP) · aljazeera.com
  16. 16News report16 Oct 2026
    Ethiopia's Abiy names new Tigray government, wants polls in six months (Reuters)
    ThePrint (Reuters) · theprint.in
  17. 17News report4 Oct 2026
    Opposition fighters in northern Ethiopia's Tigray withdraw from regional capital (AP)
    Spectrum News NY1 (AP) · ny1.com
  18. 18Official record2 Nov 2022
    Agreement for Lasting Peace through a Permanent Cessation of Hostilities between the Government of the FDRE and the TPLF (full text)
    PA-X Peace Agreements Database, University of Edinburgh · peaceagreements.org
  19. 19Government document14 May 2025
    Election Board Revokes Legal Status of Tigray People's Liberation Front
    Ethiopian News Agency · ena.et
  20. 20News report16 Oct 2026
    Ethiopia announces instalment of interim government in Tigray (AFP)
    Al Jazeera (AFP) · aljazeera.com

Last updated 1 November 2026. Spotted an error? See corrections. Every event links to the record it comes from. Allegations are attributed to whoever made them.