Rivalry

How the Raila Odinga and William Ruto rivalry unfolded

Raila Odinga lost the August 2022 Kenyan presidential election to William Ruto, failed to overturn it at the Supreme Court and led protests in 2023. From 2024 the two cooperated in what Ruto called a broad-based government, Ruto backed Odinga's unsuccessful African Union bid, and Odinga died in India on October 15, 2025.

15 August 2022 to today · 31 dated events · 35 sources
Where it stands now · as of 31 October 2026

Odinga died on October 15, 2025 and was buried in Bondo on October 19. His Orange Democratic Movement, now led by his brother Oburu Oginga, remains in the broad-based arrangement with Ruto but is divided over its terms, and The Star reported in late October 2026 that a joint committee of the two parties was negotiating a written pre-election agreement for 2027.

Raila Odinga
🇰🇪 Side A

Raila Odinga

Former prime minister of Kenya (2008 to 2013) and opposition leader, died October 15, 2025
Photo: Chatham House, CC BY 2.0 (source)
VS
William Ruto
🇰🇪 Side B

William Ruto

President of Kenya since September 13, 2022
Photo: Lukasz Kobus, European Commission, CC BY 4.0 (source)
10 : 11Moves recorded
4 : 7Statement
1 : 3Leadership
3 : 0Incident
1 : 1Talks
Overview · 15 Aug 2022 to 15 Oct 2026 · click a dot to jump
2022202320242025202615 August 2022: Ruto declared winner of presidential vote16 August 2022: Odinga rejects the result22 August 2022: Odinga petitions the Supreme Court5 September 2022: Supreme Court upholds Ruto win5 September 2022: Odinga respects but disagrees5 September 2022: Ruto welcomes the verdict13 September 2022: Ruto sworn in23 January 2023: Odinga starts rallies against the government20 March 2023: Opposition protests begin2 April 2023: Ruto urges a halt to protests2 April 2023: Odinga suspends protests for talks7 July 2023: Protests resume15 July 2023: Ruto calls protests lawlessness25 November 2023: Dialogue committee presents its report15 February 2024: Odinga seeks the African Union post24 July 2024: Ruto names Odinga allies to cabinet27 August 2024: Ruto launches Odinga's AU bid15 February 2025: Odinga loses the AU Commission race7 March 2025: Ruto and Odinga sign a political pact15 October 2025: Raila Odinga dies in India15 October 2025: Ruto declares national mourning16 October 2025: Deaths as crowds gather for Odinga's body16 October 2025: Oburu Oginga named acting ODM leader17 October 2025: Ruto speaks at state funeral19 October 2025: Odinga buried in BondoNovember 2025: ODM confirms Oburu as leader14 January 2026: Ruto's party opens coalition talks with ODM22 June 2026: ODM removes Sifuna as secretary-general7 October 2026: Ruto commissions Odinga mausoleum15 October 2026: First anniversary of Odinga's deathOctober 2026: ODM seeks a written deal with Ruto
2022
15 Aug 2022
Turning point
Ruto Leadership

Ruto declared winner of presidential vote

The chairman of the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission declared Ruto president-elect with 7,176,141 votes (50.49%) against 6,942,930 (48.85%) for Odinga, and the declaration was published in the Kenya Gazette the next day. Four of the seven commissioners disowned the result, calling the final tally opaque.

5 Sep 2022
Turning point
Ruling

Supreme Court upholds Ruto win

The seven-judge Supreme Court, led by Chief Justice Martha Koome, unanimously dismissed the consolidated petitions and declared Ruto's election valid. It found no evidence that results had been tampered with through hacking of the commission's servers, and it gave its detailed reasons on September 26, 2022.

5 Sep 2022
Odinga Statement

Odinga respects but disagrees

Odinga said on Twitter within an hour of the ruling that he respected the court but disagreed with its decision.

“We respect the opinion of the court although we vehemently disagree with their decision today”Raila Odinga, Al Jazeera
5 Sep 2022
Ruto Statement

Ruto welcomes the verdict

Ruto welcomed the ruling and promised to run an inclusive administration.

“The court returned its verdict and I welcome it with tremendous humility”William Ruto, Al Jazeera
13 Sep 2022
Ruto Leadership

Ruto sworn in

Ruto was sworn in as Kenya's fifth president in a ceremony attended by several African leaders. Odinga stayed away.

🇰🇪 NairobiVoice of America#
2023
23 Jan 2023
Odinga Statement

Odinga starts rallies against the government

Odinga began a series of rallies across the country urging supporters to reject the Ruto administration over living costs and the 2022 vote.

20 Mar 2023
Odinga Incident

Opposition protests begin

After a 14-day ultimatum expired, Odinga's supporters began protests on Mondays and Thursdays, despite a government ban, over living costs and alleged electoral malpractice.

2 Apr 2023
Ruto Statement

Ruto urges a halt to protests

In a live televised address Ruto asked Odinga to call off the next day's protests, said three people had been killed and more than 400 injured, and proposed a bipartisan process on the electoral commission.

“Our country has experienced grave acts of lawlessness, widespread violence, looting and invasion of private property”William Ruto, Voice of America
7 Jul 2023
Odinga Incident

Protests resume

Odinga's Azimio coalition resumed street protests on July 7, 2023 and later called three days of protests from July 19, Human Rights Watch reported.

25 Nov 2023
Talks

Dialogue committee presents its report

The National Dialogue Committee, co-chaired by Kalonzo Musyoka for the opposition and Kimani Ichung'wah for the government side, presented its final report. Members disagreed over scrapping the housing levy and cutting fuel tax.

🇰🇪 NairobiDaily Nation#
2024
15 Feb 2024
Odinga Statement

Odinga seeks the African Union post

Odinga declared he would run for chairperson of the African Union Commission. Ruto was understood to back his candidacy, The EastAfrican reported.

24 Jul 2024
Turning point
Ruto Leadership

Ruto names Odinga allies to cabinet

As part of what he called a broad-based government, Ruto nominated four figures from Odinga's Orange Democratic Movement to his cabinet, including John Mbadi for the Treasury and Opiyo Wandayi for energy.

27 Aug 2024
Ruto Statement

Ruto launches Odinga's AU bid

Ruto led the launch of Odinga's candidacy for the African Union Commission at State House, Nairobi, with the presidents of South Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda present.

🇰🇪 NairobiThe EastAfrican#
2025
15 Feb 2025
Odinga Leadership

Odinga loses the AU Commission race

Djibouti's foreign minister Mahmoud Ali Youssouf was elected chairperson of the African Union Commission. Odinga led the first two rounds of voting, trailed Youssouf from the third and was dropped after the sixth, The Star reported.

🇪🇹 Addis AbabaAfrican UnionThe Star (Kenya)#
7 Mar 2025
Turning point
Talks

Ruto and Odinga sign a political pact

Ruto and Odinga signed a memorandum of understanding between Ruto's United Democratic Alliance and Odinga's Orange Democratic Movement at the Kenyatta International Convention Centre.

🇰🇪 NairobiCitizen Digital#
15 Oct 2025
Turning point
Odinga Incident

Raila Odinga dies in India

Odinga died aged 80 after collapsing during a morning walk and being taken to Devamatha Hospital, about 50km east of Kochi. The hospital said he suffered a cardiac arrest and was declared dead at 09:52 local time.

15 Oct 2025
Ruto Statement

Ruto declares national mourning

Ruto declared seven days of national mourning and a state funeral with full military honours, describing Odinga as a beacon of courage and father of Kenyan democracy.

“Raila Amolo Odinga is truly a once-in-a-generation leader.”William Ruto, BBC News
16 Oct 2025
Incident

Deaths as crowds gather for Odinga's body

Rights group Vocal Africa told the BBC that three people were killed after police fired gunshots and tear gas in the stadium in Kasarani, Nairobi, where crowds who had escorted Odinga's body from the airport had gathered to view it.

🇰🇪 NairobiBBC News#
16 Oct 2025
Leadership

Oburu Oginga named acting ODM leader

The Orange Democratic Movement's National Executive Committee named Odinga's elder brother, Siaya Senator Oburu Oginga, acting party leader with immediate effect.

17 Oct 2025
Ruto Statement

Ruto speaks at state funeral

At the state funeral at Nyayo National Stadium, Ruto praised Odinga's legacy for multi-party democracy. The government declared the day a public holiday in Odinga's honour. Two mourners died later as crowds surged at the lying in state, according to Medecins Sans Frontieres.

“Every once in a generation, there comes a leader whose impact transcends their moment”William Ruto, BBC News
19 Oct 2025
Closure

Odinga buried in Bondo

Odinga was buried at his family homestead in Bondo. Ruto attended and described him as a unifier. At least five people were killed during the week of mourning events, Al Jazeera reported.

🇰🇪 BondoAl Jazeera#
Nov 2025
Leadership

ODM confirms Oburu as leader

The party's National Governing Council approved Oburu Oginga as party leader at a special sitting in Mombasa, Citizen Digital reported on November 13, pending approval by the National Delegates Convention.

2026
14 Jan 2026
Ruto Talks

Ruto's party opens coalition talks with ODM

The United Democratic Alliance's National Executive Committee authorised Ruto to open formal coalition talks with ODM ahead of the 2027 election, days after an ODM committee chaired by Oburu Oginga resolved to begin pre-election talks with UDA.

22 Jun 2026
Leadership

ODM removes Sifuna as secretary-general

ODM's National Executive Committee removed Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna as secretary-general. Al Jazeera reported that Sifuna had opposed closer cooperation with Ruto.

7 Oct 2026
Ruto Statement

Ruto commissions Odinga mausoleum

Ruto commissioned the Raila Amolo Odinga Mausoleum at Kang'o ka Jaramogi in Bondo, eight days before the first anniversary of Odinga's death, with Odinga's widow and family members present, The Standard reported.

15 Oct 2026
Statement

First anniversary of Odinga's death

Opposition leaders, Odinga's widow and thousands of mourners gathered at Migwena grounds in Bondo to mark a year since his death. Ruto, who had been expected as chief guest, did not attend, The Eastleigh Voice reported, citing his published programme.

Oct 2026
Talks

ODM seeks a written deal with Ruto

Senior ODM figures demanded that any pre-election arrangement with Ruto's United Democratic Alliance guarantee a 50-50 share of government, including the running mate slot, and an ODM lawmaker said a joint committee of the two parties would produce a written agreement, The Star reported.

In their own words

Exact quotes, side by side

The Supreme Court ruling on the 2022 election

Raila Odinga
“We respect the opinion of the court although we vehemently disagree with their decision today”
5 September 2022 · Al Jazeera
William Ruto
“The court returned its verdict and I welcome it with tremendous humility”
5 September 2022 · Al Jazeera

Background

Key facts

2022 resultRuto 7,176,141 votes (50.49%), Odinga 6,942,930 (48.85%)
Election petitionPresidential Election Petition E005 of 2022, filed August 22, 2022, dismissed September 5, 2022, detailed reasons September 26, 2022
CooperationFour ODM figures nominated to cabinet July 24, 2024, UDA and ODM pact signed March 7, 2025
AU Commission voteLost to Mahmoud Ali Youssouf on February 15, 2025
DeathOctober 15, 2025, near Kochi, India, aged 80
BurialOctober 19, 2025, at the family homestead in Bondo

Related timelines

Sources

35 records, ranked by type
  1. 1Official record5 Sep 2022
    Odinga & 16 others v Ruto & 10 others, Presidential Election Petition E005 of 2022 (Consolidated), [2022] KESC 54 (KLR)
    Kenya Law (Supreme Court of Kenya) · kenyalaw.org
  2. 2News report16 Aug 2022
    Defeated Odinga says Kenyan election result 'null and void'
    Al Jazeera · aljazeera.com
  3. 3News report5 Sep 2022
    Odinga accepts but disagrees with court decision on Kenya election
    Al Jazeera · aljazeera.com
  4. 4News report13 Sep 2022
    Kenya Swears in President Ruto After Heated Elections
    Voice of America · voanews.com
  5. 5News report4 Apr 2023
    Kenya opposition protests pause for talks: All you need to know
    Al Jazeera · aljazeera.com
  6. 6News report2 Apr 2023
    Kenya Opposition Leader Odinga Calls Off Monday's Protest
    Voice of America · voanews.com
  7. 7News report18 Jul 2023
    Kenya: Officials Threaten Protesters with Violence
    Human Rights Watch · hrw.org
  8. 8News report26 Nov 2023
    National Dialogue Committee presents report after D-Day standoff
    Daily Nation · nation.africa
  9. 9News report17 Feb 2024
    Kenya Kwanza happy to see Azimio man Raila off to Addis Ababa
    The EastAfrican · theeastafrican.co.ke
  10. 10News report24 Jul 2024
    Handshake Gov't as Ruto nominates Raila men Joho, Mbadi, Wandayi, Oparanya to Cabinet
    Citizen Digital · citizen.digital
  11. 11News report27 Aug 2024
    Raila Odinga: 'My heart is ready, my hands are steady' for AUC top job
    The EastAfrican · theeastafrican.co.ke
  12. 12Government document16 Feb 2025
    H.E. Mahmoud Ali Youssouf, H.E. Ambassador Selma Malika Haddadi, and 4 Commissioners elected to leadership positions in the African Union Commission elections
    African Union · au.int
  13. 13News report15 Feb 2025
    Blow to Kenya as Raila loses AUC chair race
    The Star (Kenya) · the-star.co.ke
  14. 14News report7 Mar 2025
    President Ruto, Raila Odinga officially sign deal to work together
    Citizen Digital · citizen.digital
  15. 15News report15 Oct 2025
    Raila Odinga: Kenya's former prime minister dies in India at 80
    BBC News · bbc.com
  16. 16Government document15 Oct 2025
    Condolence message by the President of the Pan-African Parliament: Rt. Hon. Raila Amolo Odinga
    Pan-African Parliament (African Union) · pap.au.int
  17. 17News report16 Oct 2025
    Raila Odinga's body: At least three dead after Kenya police open fire to disperse mourners
    BBC News · bbc.com
  18. 18News report17 Oct 2025
    Raila Odinga funeral: Emotional send-off for Kenya's revered former prime minister
    BBC News · bbc.com
  19. 19News report19 Oct 2025
    Kenya's revered opposition leader Raila Odinga laid to rest
    Al Jazeera · aljazeera.com
  20. 20News report13 Nov 2025
    ODM ratifies Oburu Oginga's appointment as party leader
    Citizen Digital · citizen.digital
  21. 21News report22 Jun 2026
    ODM NEC removes Edwin Sifuna from secretary-general seat
    The Star (Kenya) · the-star.co.ke
  22. 22News report15 Oct 2026
    Opposition leaders grace Raila's first anniversary as Ruto snubs event
    The Eastleigh Voice · eastleighvoice.co.ke
  23. 23News report21 Oct 2026
    One year on: Has Kenya's opposition lost its way without Raila Odinga?
    Al Jazeera · aljazeera.com
  24. 24News report29 Oct 2026
    Oburu's ODM split over written Ruto pact ahead of 2027
    The Star (Kenya) · the-star.co.ke
  25. 25Official record16 Aug 2022
    Gazette Notice No. 9773, Declaration of Persons Elected as President-Elect and Deputy President-Elect (Kenya Gazette Vol. CXXIV No. 163)
    Kenya Gazette (via Kenya Law) · kenyalaw.org
  26. 26News report22 Aug 2022
    Raila Odinga files petition to challenge Kenya election result
    Al Jazeera · aljazeera.com
  27. 27News report22 Aug 2022
    After Kenya presidential vote loss, runner-up Odinga files court challenge
    PBS NewsHour (Associated Press) · pbs.org
  28. 28Official record26 Sep 2022
    Odinga & 16 others v Ruto & 10 others, Presidential Election Petition E005 of 2022 (Consolidated), [2022] KESC 56 (KLR), detailed judgment
    Kenya Law (Supreme Court of Kenya) · kenyalaw.org
  29. 29News report16 Oct 2025
    ODM names Oburu Oginga acting party leader
    The Star (Kenya) · the-star.co.ke
  30. 30Official record16 Oct 2025
    Gazette Notice No. 15007, Declaration of Public Holiday (Kenya Gazette Vol. CXXVII No. 214)
    Kenya Gazette (via Kenya Law) · kenyalaw.org
  31. 31News report12 Jan 2026
    ODM opens pre-election coalition talks with UDA ahead of 2027 polls
    Citizen Digital · citizen.digital
  32. 32News report14 Jan 2026
    UDA authorises Ruto to open coalition talks with ODM ahead of 2027 election
    Citizen Digital · citizen.digital
  33. 33News report7 Oct 2026
    Ruto commissions Raila Odinga mausoleum in Bondo
    The Standard (Kenya) · standardmedia.co.ke
  34. 34News report7 Oct 2026
    Ruto Hands Over Raila Odinga Mausoleum in Bondo as Oburu Misses Ceremony
    Dawan Africa · dawan.africa
  35. 35News report15 Oct 2026
    Thousands throng Bondo to honour Raila's first death anniversary
    Citizen Digital · citizen.digital

Last updated 31 October 2026. Spotted an error? See corrections. Every event links to the record it comes from. Allegations are attributed to whoever made them.